Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000623 0.000715 0.000813 0.000924 0.001047 0.001179 0.001329
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000478 0.000604 0.000749 0.000924 0.001131 0.001365 0.001648
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000405 0.000548 0.000718 0.000935 0.001201 0.001512 0.001900
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000335 0.000482 0.000667 0.000911 0.001220 0.001594 0.002075
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000279 0.000427 0.000620 0.000884 0.001229 0.001658 0.002223
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000244 0.000393 0.000595 0.000881 0.001266 0.001754 0.002410
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000214 0.000364 0.000574 0.000880 0.001301 0.001847 0.002595
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000187 0.000334 0.000548 0.000869 0.001321 0.001919 0.002751
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000162 0.000304 0.000520 0.000851 0.001329 0.001974 0.002885
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000149 0.000293 0.000517 0.000870 0.001388 0.002097 0.003114
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000137 0.000282 0.000513 0.000885 0.001441 0.002214 0.003334
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000120 0.000260 0.000490 0.000869 0.001448 0.002266 0.003466
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000104 0.000237 0.000464 0.000849 0.001448 0.002308 0.003588
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000093 0.000224 0.000453 0.000851 0.001482 0.002400 0.003781
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000214 0.000448 0.000861 0.001526 0.002507 0.003998
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000195 0.000424 0.000838 0.001520 0.002538 0.004106
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000177 0.000399 0.000813 0.001506 0.002558 0.004198
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000166 0.000388 0.000810 0.001529 0.002633 0.004370
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000157 0.000379 0.000809 0.001554 0.002710 0.004547
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000146 0.000364 0.000798 0.001562 0.002762 0.004687
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000038 0.000134 0.000348 0.000782 0.001559 0.002796 0.004800
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000132 0.000349 0.000799 0.001614 0.002922 0.005055
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000128 0.000349 0.000813 0.001664 0.003040 0.005300